Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000104 0.000115 0.000127 0.000141 0.000156 0.000173 0.000192
2025-12-07 0.000086 0.000101 0.000118 0.000138 0.000162 0.000190 0.000225
2025-12-14 0.000075 0.000092 0.000113 0.000140 0.000173 0.000212 0.000265
2025-12-21 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000140 0.000181 0.000233 0.000304
2025-12-28 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000138 0.000187 0.000250 0.000341
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000074 0.000101 0.000140 0.000196 0.000273 0.000388
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000069 0.000098 0.000141 0.000203 0.000293 0.000431
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000095 0.000140 0.000209 0.000311 0.000474
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000139 0.000214 0.000328 0.000516
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000139 0.000220 0.000346 0.000562
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000137 0.000223 0.000360 0.000602
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000137 0.000227 0.000376 0.000646
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000137 0.000233 0.000397 0.000701
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000135 0.000237 0.000413 0.000749
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000137 0.000246 0.000440 0.000820
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000138 0.000253 0.000462 0.000886
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000075 0.000137 0.000257 0.000480 0.000944
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000041 0.000074 0.000139 0.000266 0.000510 0.001027
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000139 0.000272 0.000533 0.001101
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000139 0.000277 0.000554 0.001171
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000138 0.000281 0.000573 0.001239
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000138 0.000287 0.000596 0.001319
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000136 0.000288 0.000611 0.001380